Thursday, April 3, 2025

Trump's most insidious scheme (so far)

 The two months since Donald Trump’s reinauguration have been like a blitzkrieg. There has been no shortage of reports of radical actions - some constitutional and some not - against various facets of the federal government, immigrants (both legal and illegal), our allies, and others. There has been so much going on that it is impossible to cover everything, but there is one particularly worrisome aspect of the “shock and awe” MAGA onslaught.

One of the most troubling series of reports is the shocking lack of due process for MAGA’s enemies. In actions reminiscent of his first-term plans to “take the guns first and go through due process second,” the Trump Administration is currently focusing its pre-due process activities against Americans in other ways.

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Trump & Co. have been summarily deporting immigrants without affording them the due process required by law. The Administration has cited the Alien Enemies Act to deport aliens without regard to legal procedures. The problem is that this law applies to wartime, not a peacetime immigrant crisis, and the Trump Administration’s use of the word “invasion” to justify their actions is not supported by the law. As a result, federal judges have ruled against the strategy with one judge commenting, “Nazis got better treatment under the Alien Enemies Act than what has happened here.”

And yes, noncitizens (even illegal aliens) are entitled to some rights under US law. This includes the right to due process. Without due process, it is impossible to determine whether someone is guilty of a crime or even if they are an American citizen instead of an immigrant.

There is now no doubt that immigrants who do not have violent criminal records and even some legal immigrants have been caught up in the deportations. The Trump Administration claims that deportees are violent criminals and gang members, but the lack of due process makes these claims unverifiable. Tattoos seem to have been used as a major reason for many deportations, even though the FBI and DHS cast doubt on the use of tattoos to identify gang members. In some cases, immigrants are being slotted for deportation for offenses as slight as authoring a pro-Palestinian op-ed in a student newspaper.

Even tourists are sometimes being detained. In one shocking case, a 28-year-old Welsh backpacker on a tourist visa was shackled in “leg chains, waist chains and handcuffs” for 19 days before being deported, per BBC reports. Her apparent crime? Getting free accommodations from host families by helping “around the house.” The State Department says that people on tourist visas are prohibited from engaging in employment. (Ironically, Elon Musk allegedly worked illegally while on a student visa in 1995.)

Stories like these underscore the claim that the cruelty seems to be the point for MAGA. These reports, as well as others that include accounts of ICE arresting and detaining US citizens, also make me think that ICE is challenging ATF’s reputation as one of the most lawless and unaccountable federal law enforcement agencies. (As a public service, here is a legal guide to interactions with ICE agents.)

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But the assault on the rule of law goes even deeper than denying due process. Trump’s most dangerous tactic may be one of the most underreported acts of his new Administration. There is now an established pattern of Trump directly attacking some of the nation’s most prominent law firms.

Trump’s attacks on law firms began with an Executive Order targeting Covington and Burling, a massive law firm that worked with Special Counsel Jack Smith’s investigation. Trump’s order suspended the security clearances for the firm’s employees and restricted access to government buildings, including courthouses, severely impeding their ability to represent clients, particularly in federal cases.

Some firms, such as Paul Weiss, a firm that had worked with Trump investigators and filed actions against January 6 insurrectionists, quickly capitulated as rival firms schemed to take advantage of their vulnerability, but more Orders quickly followed against other firms that had the temerity to take on Donald Trump. At least five firms have been targeted so far.

It now seems that the firms are realizing that it is a case of hanging together or else hanging separately. Some of Trump’s targets are suing for First Amendment violations, and so far, they are winning against his blatantly unconstitutional strategy.

Why is Trump attacking law firms? The reasons are likely multi-faceted. The most obvious motive is revenge against lawyers who played a role in Trump’s legal problems over the past few years. It is notable that Orders have targeted firms that were involved with the Steele dossier and Robert Mueller.

Even more sinister is the probability that the attacks are designed to chill legal actions against the Administration. Yet another executive action threatens lawyers and firms that engage in activity that the Administration deems “frivolous.”

The purpose here seems obvious when one considers the new Administration’s already lengthy losing streak in the courts. If Trump can intimidate lawyers enough to keep them from filing lawsuits, the Administration can run rampant over the Constitution and the legal system. What good are rights if you can’t find a lawyer to represent you against the government?

Trump’s blitzkrieg against the law is a multi-pronged attack that includes targeting individual citizens, lawyers, and judges, as well as undermining the credibility of the court system. I have long suspected that Trump may eventually refuse to comply with court orders, especially if he senses that the public will not hold him accountable for doing so. He has already tiptoed up to that line.

Those of us who are students of WWII history know the full story of the blitzkrieg, however, and that can give us hope. In the early days of that conflict, Hitler’s “shock and awe” strategy ran roughshod over his enemies and racked up victory after victory. In the end, the German armies became overextended and taking orders from an inexperienced and ignorant leader ultimately led to massive strategic defeats. Once allied armies mobilized, the blitzkrieg tactic was ineffective, but it took long years of hard fighting to take back what what the Nazi blitzkrieg took quikcly.

Trump’s blitzkrieg is already running out of steam. The shock is wearing off, and the opposition is mobilizing and getting organized. The courts are throwing up roadblocks to stop and reverse Trump and DOGE’s unlawful actions, which goes a long way towards explaining the attacks on lawyers and judges.

Our legal system is a thin line separating our Republic from lawless authoritarianism. It is a disturbing tell that Trump and MAGA have placed such a priority on intimidating lawyers and judges into inaction as a means of undermining and circumventing the legal protections that keep us free.

As I’ve said in the past, if you like what Trump is doing, just imagine Democrats doing it to you because eventually, they will.

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FLORIDA VOTERS: Florida is holding two special elections today to replace the newly infamous Mike Waltz, the national security advisor of Signal chat thread fame, and Matt Gaetz of longtime infamy. Both districts were carried by Trump by more than 30 points less than six months ago and both races are considerably tighter today. Even if Republicans eke out victories, the results will act as barometers for how quickly Trump’s popularity is sliding.

ACCIDENTAL DEPORTATION: The Trump Administration says it accidentally deported a legal immigrant with protected status to a Salvadoran prison and now cannot get him back.


From the Racket News

Making China great again (Or How To Kill An Economy Wth One Simple Trick)

 Donald Trump’s “Liberation Day” has come and gone, and the self-described “Tariff Man” has launched a new phase in his international trade war. The president’s announcement, made after markets closed on Wednesday, set a universal 10 percent minimum tariff on all imports with higher taxes on imports for countries that Trump doesn’t like. These include 34 percent on China, 24 percent on Japan, and 20 percent on the European Union in addition to a 25 percent tariff on autos, per the Wall Street Journal. This is how one man takes a vibrant, stable economy and turns it into a recession.

Actually, the tariffs are not universal. They have a notable exception in that they don’t include Russia, Belarus, Cuba, and North Korea. Per Newsweek, the omission is because the US has no trade with these countries due to sanctions, but two other sanctioned countries, Iran and Syria, were assigned tariffs of 10 and 40 percent respectively.

Inconsistency, thy name is Trump! And you know what they say about inconsistency.

Prior to the announcement, much of the talk had been about reciprocal tariffs. Trump’s announcement was much worse than that.

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While some argument can be made for reciprocal tariffs, famed economist Milton Friedman explained long ago why such tit-for-tat protectionism is a bad idea in his 1962 book, Capitalism and Freedom, saying, “Our tariffs hurt us as well as other countries. We would be benefited by dispensing with our tariffs even if other countries did not. We would of course be benefited even more if they reduce theirs but our benefiting does not require that they reduce tariffs. Self-interests coincide and do not conflict.”

But Trump’s tariffs are not reciprocal. Trump’s universal tariffs even tax imports from countries that do not tax American imports. This includes Israel, which unilaterally dropped tariffs on US goods the day before Trump’s announcement. Israel’s 17-percent tariff gives lie to the claim that Trump’s tariffs were only a negotiating tactic.

And since Trump’s tariffs are not reciprocal, the target countries, which include the entire world, can be expected to impose their own reciprocal tariffs on the US, Milton Friedman be damned. Will Donald Trump then increase American tariffs in return? The magic eight ball says, “All signs point to yes.”

The bottom line is that Trump is not “protecting” American industry from foreign imports; he is killing American export markets. This isn’t supposition because we’ve seen it before in Trump’s first term when American manufacturers and farmers lost foreign buyers because of Tariff War I.

If we ask ourselves what Trump’s “Liberation Day” is liberating us from, that list includes lower prices, consumer choices, economic stability, higher standards of living, good international relations, and, of course, jobs. Tariffs are a crony capitalistic tactic that may protect some jobs in favored industries but kill jobs elsewhere. The tariffs of Trump’s first term even killed hundreds of thousands of the manufacturing jobs they were meant to protect.

With a tariff war, as the military supercomputer said in War Games, “The only winning move is not to play,” but you might ask yourself who would emerge with the least worst outcome. One thing I can tell you is that it won’t be the country that isolates itself against the entire world.

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No, the trade war won’t benefit the US. And it won’t benefit the Trump Administration or the Republican Party either. Politicians and parties who start recessions on purpose are not usually rewarded for their actions.

Instead, the countries that are most likely to emerge from the trade war with expanded influence and markets are our competitors. And who is our biggest competitor? China.

Follow along with my reasoning. When Trump’s trade taxes go into effect (and some will be effective by the time you read this), other countries will throw up their own walls of protectionism. When this happens, American exports will become more expensive, and our trading partners will look for new producers. China, with its growing industrial base and desire to expand its influence (rather than isolate), is a logical choice.

Other countries will benefit as well Brazilian and Canadian farmers will sell to buyers who used to parter with American sellers. Again, this is history, not speculation. Canada is also a major source of American oil imports. Do Trump and MAGA really think that Canadian oil producers won’t be able to find markets for the oil that we don’t buy? They will do so easily and probably at higher prices.

With China, the opportunities from Trump’s foolish policies go beyond the trade war. The Trump-DOGE attack on federal programs leaves much of the world wide open to Chinese overtures. Not only have the Trumpists (probably unconstitutionally) shut down US AID and many other foreign aid programs, they have also silenced American outreach to people in authoritarian countries through the Voice of America and pro-democracy programs. China and other aggressive dictatorships love this.

Left unsaid by the supporters of Trump’s tariffs is that Trump’s attacks on our economic partners also strain our military alliances. The trade war may not break NATO, but Chinese ascendancy with countries that were formerly partnered with the US for trade could easily leave the US without support in an international crisis.

Suppose China makes a move on Taiwan in a year or two. They’ve recently been rehearsing for a blockade of the breakaway republic, so this is not farfetched. If Donald Trump or a MAGA president is in office, there is a nonzero chance that the US won’t do anything because MAGA is isolationist and tired of “endless wars,” so the odds are good that Xi will roll the dice and go for it.

Assuming that the US does decide to intervene, we may find ourselves with a small and ineffective coalition because Trump’s trade policies have forced other nations to become more dependent on China. It is also not farfetched at all to think that China would use economic blackmail to keep countries on the sidelines both in the UN and on the frontlines, and Donald Trump’s talent for diplomacy is nonexistent.

I’ll say it again: The trade war won’t be good for anyone, but it is going to be not good in the extreme for the US. Trump is isolating America against the world, and the world is about to find ways to get along without America.

Donald Trump isn’t making America great again. He’s making America irrelevant, and China will be the main beneficiary of that new reality.

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REPUBLICANS BREAK WITH TRUMP ON TARIFFS: In an example of too-little-too-late in action, four Republican senators voted for a Senate resolution that would repeal the president’s emergency authority to levy tariffs. Axios reports that Susan Collins (Maine), Mitch McConnell (Ky.) Lisa Murkowski (Alaska) and Rand Paul (Ky.) voted with Democrats to pass the measure 51-48, but it is expected to die in the House. Rand Paul is the most surprising defection.

NOTE: After publication, it became apparent that the tariff rates presented by Trump at his press conference were fictitious. It has now been confirmed that these numbers were not tariff rates at all, but as the NY Post explains citing a Trump aide, “The specific ‘reciprocal’ tariff rate was half of the current trade imbalance because ,the president is lenient and he wants to be kind to the world.’”

Don’t do us anymore favors like that. It’s a garbage policy based on a garbage number..


From the Racket News