The worst kept secret in politics is that Joe Biden is
running for president. It’s so bad that even Ol’ Scrappy Joe can’t keep the
secret himself.
“It can't go on like this, folks. I know I get criticized
and told I get criticized by the new left,” Biden told Delaware Democrats on CNN
last week. “have the most progressive record of anybody running for the United
States.” Biden quickly corrected himself, adding, “Anybody who would run!”
The slip of the tongue may not have been intentional, but
then again Biden has been stringing Democrats along for months with his
vacillations on whether to mount a 2020 campaign or sit out the election as he
did in 2016. With the 2020 Democratic field looking increasingly leftist and
inexperienced, many moderates, including quite a few moderate Republicans, are
hoping for a Biden candidacy.
However, Biden hit upon the key objection to that many
Democrats will have to his nomination, namely that the Democratic Party has
moved left in the past few years, leaving many to question whether the aging Delaware
politician is too far out of the modern Democratic mainstream. There is also
the question of whether an aging white man can edge out competition that
includes both women and ethnic minorities in the new Democratic Party.
Perhaps following a strategy that understands that the buzz over
whether he will get in the race or not is keeping attention turned away from the
other hopefuls, Biden continues to be coy about running even as he secures
endorsements and weighs the possibility of an early announcement about a
running mate.
Biden met with Stacey Abrams, the 2018 Democratic
gubernatorial candidate in Georgia, last week. The meeting fueled speculation
that Abrams was under consideration for the vice-presidential slot as a
strategy to help shore up support among black voters. Many black
voters did not show up for Hillary Clinton in 2016, which helped Donald
Trump to secure a slim victory in the Electoral College. Abrams has not announced
a presidential campaign but tweeted
on March 11 that “2020 is definitely on the table.”
Hillary also had problems motivating young voters. Polling
shows that young
Democrats favor Biden over other candidates, but there is also speculation
that picking Beto
O’Rourke for vice president could help Biden shore up support among millennials
as well as put Texas in play. However, since Beto is running his own campaign, choosing
him as a running mate would mean that an early announcement would be less
likely.
O’Rourke’s fundraising prowess would also benefit the Biden
campaign. CNN
notes that Biden has said that he would not use Super PACs. There are concerns
that the senior citizen is not adept at using social media to drive
fundraising.
“I think he in certain
ways has been wise to string this out because the shorter the race, the better
for him. He doesn't have the same demands that others have except for one
that's going to be a challenge perhaps for him and that's raising money,” said
David Axelrod, former adviser to President Obama. “Joe Biden's not by
generation and nature a social media candidate. So, he can't delay this much
longer. He has to get around to the business of raising the resources that he
needs.”
With all the speculation and attention focused on the former
vice president, expectations are high for Biden’s eventual rollout. His announcement
is likely to be closely followed by endorsements from a number of high-profile current and former Democratic officials and a
fundraising push. While Biden has consistently led in polling of Democratic
preferences, a key metric for his campaign will be whether he can match the $6
million raised by Bernie Sanders and Beto O’Rourke in the first day of their
official campaigns. If he cannot match these two rivals, it will not bode well
for his campaign.
Joe Biden is currently the
Democrat to beat even though he isn’t officially in the race, but if the
gaffe-prone political veteran flubs the rollout of his campaign or if interest
in his candidacy doesn’t translate into dollars, he could prove to be a
shooting star, shining brightly for a few seconds and then disappearing.
Originally published
on the
Resurgent
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